Iran is at its apex of power now. A growing population with dwindling reserves and no other basis for an ecomony are daunting problems. On top if this are the restless minorities Azeris, Kurds, Balluch and a few others.
The paradox of the Mullahocracy is that their belicose rhetoric has scared the investors needed to fix the oil situation and extend its life. The mullocacy wasted its resources on expensive foreign ventures like Hezbollah. It neglected the future of Iran, but this is not surprising considering it is run by a messiah like cult waiting for the hidden Imam to arrive.
Time is not on Iran's side and the mullahs know it. The problem is EU, Russian and Chinese medling is stoking a fire that is dangerous. Putin is an enemy of the United
States presiding over a crumbling empire. He has a shrinking population and a mess in Chechnya. The mess could be resolved if the Balts and adjacent states start to send Russians packing but will they return to Russia or emigrate elsewhere. Whenever I pick up a case from Khazakistan it is a Russian or Jew leaving.
I would also take the Muslim threats to riot in France following a Sarkozy victory seriously. How Sarkozy reacts to the challenge is unknown? The possibility of a real intifada in France is quite real. Sarkozy also has Jewish blood that also will lead to all types of anti-semitic standards. He is allready being called by some a "neocon" in Commiespeak co-opted by Buchanan types this means evil Joooish reactionary. How will the sanctimonious Euros react to their own intifada. Maybe the
Muslims of France can whip up a fake ethnicity " New Algerian". Will the EU deploy forces to quell the riots. Left unsaid is that people who work seldom have time to riot. Maybe a Euro version of workfare would have allieviated some of this mess.
Things are looking better in 08. The shrill rhetoric of the Kossacks is pushing the Democrats way to the left. How Hillary or any nominee recaptures the center is unknown. The wild card is still Al Gore who loathes the Clintons in private. Look for a possible Gore last second candidacy to derail Hillary. Rudy owns the center and the only hope of the Dems is to try and drive his numbers down.
This moment is interesting.